High Impact Weather Events in Eurazia: selected, simulated, storified
This project develops story-lines about extreme climate events with high impact in Eurazia with collaborators in the UK, Norway, India and China. Historical data and large climate model ensembles will form the basis for powerful stories about how climate affects society and vice versa, how different regions are connected by large-scale climate events and how extreme weather can be, now and in a warmer world . Special emphasis will be on the predictability of such large-scale, high-impact climate events. Active collaboration is sought with impact modellers.
Resulting scientific papers:
- K van der Wiel, N Wanders, FM Selten, MFP Bierkens (2019): Added value of large ensemble simulations for assessing extreme river discharge in a 2 ° C warmer world. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 2093-2102.
- R Blackport, JA Screen (2019): Influence of Arctic sea-ice loss in autumn compared to that in winter on the atmospheric circulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 2213-2221.
- K van der Wiel, LP Stoop, BRH van Zuijlen, R Blackport, MA van den Broek, FM Selten (2019): Meteorological conditions leading to extreme low variable renewable energy production and extreme high energy shortfall. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, 111, 261-275.
- R Blackport, JA Screen, K van der Wiel, R Bintanja (2019): Minimal influence of reduced Arctic sea ice on coincident cold winters in mid-latitudes. Nature Climate Change, in press.
Scientific papers with data from the HIWAVES3 simulations:
- S Philip, S Sparrow, SF Kew, K van der Wiel, N Wanders, R Singh, A Hassan, K Mohammed, H Javid, K Haustein, FEL Otto, F Hirpa, RH Rimi, AKM Saiful Islam, DCH Wallom, GJ van Oldenborgh: Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23, 1409-1429.